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Rapport d'index GGSC-CN (Déc. 2021)

In December  2021, China's PMI index registered 50.3%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, operating in the expansion range (above 50%) for 2 consecutive months, indicating that the prosperity level of the manufacturing industry continued to rise, and the momentum of macroeconomic stabilization and recovery was consolidated.This month, the timber production and manufacturing of timber industry contracted compared with the previous month and the growth momentum is weak, which is reflected in the continuous decline of export orders of most enterprises, the insufficient operating rate of enterprises, and the further consumption of finished product inventory.It is worth noting that the price of raw materials fell for two consecutive months.The GGSC-CN comprehensive index for December registered 47.5% (52.0% for last December  and 55.6% for December 2019), an increase of 2.8 percentage points from the previous month, and was below the critical value of 50%. It shows that the operation of the superior forest products enterprises represented by GGSC-CN index shrink from last month. See Figure 1 for more details.

Figure 1 GGSC-CN index trend from January 2020 to December 2021 

  Challenges 

Ø Oak and Zingana are in short supply.

  Products in short supply 

Cumaru,Merbau,Oak,Zingana

  Commodity of which the price has been increased 

waterproof agent, base material, glue, formaldehyde

  Commodity of which the price has been decreased 

Colored paper,Eucalyptus medium board, Eucalyptus firewood; Urea, Melamine 

 

As for the GGSC-CN  index, in December  2021,three sub-indexes of GGSC-CN  increase , one decrease.

The production index registered 37.5%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points from the previous month, and below 50% for three months. It shows that the production of superior forest products enterprises represented by GGSC CN is worse than that of last month.

The new order index registered 56.3%, an increase of 6.3 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting the ability of enterprises to obtain orders is better than last month.Among them, the new export order index reflecting international trade registered 31.3%, an increase of 3.5 percentage points from the previous month,, showing that orders from abroad this month is decreased from last month.

The main raw material inventory index registered 43.8%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points  from the previous month. It shows that the raw material inventory of the superior forest products enterprises is less than that of last month.

The employment index registered 56.3%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points  from the previous month. It shows that the employment of the superior forest products enterprises is more than that of last month. 

The supplier delivery time index was 37.5%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points from the previous month. It indicates that the supply time of raw material suppliers of the superior forest product enterprises is slower than last month.


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